Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Coyle 49.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Lowry
Coyle
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Coyle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
50.6% (921)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
51.0% (96)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
30.1% (83)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
53.4% (515)
51.8% (517)
Away
52.6% (549)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
54.2%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
50.8%
44.8%
OT
37.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |