Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Coyle 48.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 42-15 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
15
(57 meetings)
42
15
Lowry
Coyle
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
9
Lowry
Coyle
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
22
3
Lowry
Coyle
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
3
Lowry
Coyle
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.4% (7,856)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (792)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
43.6% (1,090)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
51.5%
49.4%
P2
51.8%
48.3%
P3
51.4%
48.8%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |