Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Coyle 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 65.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lizotte
Coyle
Last 8: Lizotte 7-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
50.6% (921)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
51.0% (96)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
30.1% (83)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
52.5% (326)
51.8% (517)
Away
50.5% (281)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
51.4%
49.2%
P2
56.3%
52.8%
P3
46.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |