Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Tierney 47.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Coyle
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coyle
Tierney
Last 8: Coyle 5-3 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
2
Coyle
Tierney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Tierney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Tierney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
46.6% (193)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
47.5% (40)
+0.6%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tierney
Home
53.3% (512)
47.9% (121)
Away
51.9% (507)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Coyle
Tierney
P1
53.8%
44.1%
P2
47.8%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |