Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Tierney 49.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 55.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Coyle
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Coyle
Tierney
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
4
Coyle
Tierney
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Coyle
Tierney
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
5
Coyle
Tierney
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
49.3% (5,342)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
52.3% (342)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
46.6% (857)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tierney
Home
49.8% (4,835)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Coyle
Tierney
P1
49.4%
49.3%
P2
48.3%
47.7%
P3
48.8%
50.5%
OT
49.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |