Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Giroux 60.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 75.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Coyle
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
60.3% (395)
-8.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
67.3% (107)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
65.4% (153)
-20.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Coyle
Giroux
Home
49.0% (537)
65.9% (337)
Away
52.1% (516)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Coyle
Giroux
P1
48.7%
62.1%
P2
49.6%
64.5%
P3
53.1%
60.9%
OT
45.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |