Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Giroux 57.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 81.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 60.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 64.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Coyle
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Giroux
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
59.7% (750)
-7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
62.6% (190)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
51.6% (281)
-3.5%
On even strength, Giroux has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Coyle
Giroux
Home
53.3% (512)
59.5% (580)
Away
51.9% (507)
57.3% (641)
By Period
Coyle
Giroux
P1
53.8%
56.6%
P2
47.8%
58.0%
P3
56.7%
60.8%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
64.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |