Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Giroux 60.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 73.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 80.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Coyle
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coyle
Giroux
Last 8: Coyle 5-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Coyle
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
59.6% (606)
-10.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
69.3% (150)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
61.4% (220)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Coyle
Giroux
Home
47.4% (409)
65.7% (461)
Away
50.0% (360)
57.7% (515)
By Period
Coyle
Giroux
P1
50.8%
60.7%
P2
46.0%
63.7%
P3
48.4%
60.2%
OT
64.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
63.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |