Charlie Coyle vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs McMichael 43.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 67.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.0%
Neutral zone
McMichael 58.8%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Coyle
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
McMichael
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McMichael
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
2
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
42.4% (399)
+9.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
49.1% (55)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
40.6% (96)
+4.2%
On even strength, Coyle has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Coyle
McMichael
Home
49.0% (537)
43.0% (298)
Away
52.1% (516)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Coyle
McMichael
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
49.6%
41.1%
P3
53.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |