Charlie Coyle vs Connor McMichael
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McMichael 43.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 58.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 52.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Coyle
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Coyle
McMichael
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
3
Coyle
McMichael
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
McMichael
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
5
Coyle
McMichael
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
43.1% (1,574)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
46.0% (139)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
38.3% (167)
+5.3%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Coyle
McMichael
Home
49.8% (4,835)
42.6% (976)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
43.3% (904)
By Period
Coyle
McMichael
P1
49.4%
43.3%
P2
48.3%
43.2%
P3
48.8%
41.9%
OT
49.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |