Charlie Coyle vs Connor McMichael
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs McMichael 43.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 70.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 58.8%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Coyle
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Coyle
McMichael
Last 7: Coyle 3-4 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
2
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
McMichael
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
43.4% (761)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
40.7% (59)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
30.8% (52)
+12.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Coyle
McMichael
Home
54.5% (719)
42.1% (444)
Away
48.8% (758)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Coyle
McMichael
P1
51.1%
42.5%
P2
50.0%
41.9%
P3
53.3%
42.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |