Scouting Report
Drew O'Connor holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs O'Connor 50.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 70.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Coyle
O'Connor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
O'Connor
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
O'Connor
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
48.6% (72)
+3.0%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
60.0% (5)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
66.7% (12)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. O'Connor is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Connor
Home
47.5% (394)
65.0% (40)
Away
52.8% (411)
40.8% (49)
By Period
Coyle
O'Connor
P1
49.6%
44.4%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
52.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
O'Connor
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |