Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs O'Connor 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 75.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 83.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Coyle
O'Connor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
O'Connor
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
O'Connor
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
47.5% (80)
+4.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
50.0% (8)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
66.7% (12)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. O'Connor is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Connor
Home
49.0% (537)
60.9% (46)
Away
52.1% (516)
40.7% (54)
By Period
Coyle
O'Connor
P1
48.7%
40.0%
P2
49.6%
52.6%
P3
53.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |