Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs O'Connor 48.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 54.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Coyle
O'Connor
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
O'Connor
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 O'Connor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
O'Connor
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
0
1
Coyle
O'Connor
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
O'Connor
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
43.2% (37)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
100.0% (2)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. O'Connor is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Connor
Home
53.3% (512)
38.9% (18)
Away
51.9% (507)
52.4% (21)
By Period
Coyle
O'Connor
P1
53.8%
27.3%
P2
47.8%
57.9%
P3
56.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |