Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Rodrigues 47.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Coyle
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Rodrigues
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
47.2% (318)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
52.4% (42)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
42.3% (26)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rodrigues
Home
51.8% (517)
49.8% (215)
Away
46.7% (583)
44.4% (171)
By Period
Coyle
Rodrigues
P1
49.2%
44.2%
P2
52.8%
53.5%
P3
44.8%
44.6%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |