Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Coyle
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
45.6% (250)
+3.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
40.0% (30)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
50.0% (2)
-6.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rodrigues
Home
47.4% (409)
46.5% (142)
Away
50.0% (360)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Coyle
Rodrigues
P1
50.8%
42.9%
P2
46.0%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
42.4%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |