Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 85.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Coyle
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Coyle
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.1% (256)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
47.5% (122)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
16.7% (6)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Coyle
Guentzel
Home
47.4% (409)
49.3% (201)
Away
50.0% (360)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Coyle
Guentzel
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
46.0%
45.6%
P3
48.4%
41.6%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |