Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 88.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.1%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 56.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Coyle
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Coyle
Guentzel
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
3
Coyle
Guentzel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Guentzel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Coyle
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
46.3% (685)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
45.7% (291)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
42.9% (42)
+0.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Guentzel is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Coyle
Guentzel
Home
49.8% (4,835)
48.3% (544)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Coyle
Guentzel
P1
49.4%
47.8%
P2
48.3%
45.2%
P3
48.8%
45.3%
OT
49.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |