Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Norris 51.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 59.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Coyle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Coyle
Norris
Last 6: Coyle 5-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
52.2% (542)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
54.4% (57)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
46.7% (30)
-3.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Coyle
Norris
Home
54.5% (719)
50.7% (351)
Away
48.8% (758)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Coyle
Norris
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
53.3%
52.1%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |