Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Norris 49.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 66.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Coyle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Coyle
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
50.0% (356)
+2.3%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
48.7% (76)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
42.9% (7)
+1.9%
On power play, Norris has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Coyle
Norris
Home
49.0% (537)
47.2% (193)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Coyle
Norris
P1
48.7%
53.8%
P2
49.6%
48.2%
P3
53.1%
47.9%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |