Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Coyle
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Coyle
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Coyle
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Coyle
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
53.7% (923)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
56.1% (244)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
58.6% (29)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Coyle
Draisaitl
Home
47.4% (409)
55.2% (636)
Away
50.0% (360)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Coyle
Draisaitl
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
56.6%
P3
48.4%
54.0%
OT
64.3%
67.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |