Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 74.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Coyle
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Coyle
Draisaitl
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Coyle
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
1
Coyle
Draisaitl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
55.9% (835)
-3.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
61.8% (228)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
50.0% (40)
-5.2%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Coyle
Draisaitl
Home
49.0% (537)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.1% (516)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Coyle
Draisaitl
P1
48.7%
55.8%
P2
49.6%
55.7%
P3
53.1%
59.0%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |