Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Necas 46.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 68.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 93.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 82.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Coyle
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Coyle
Necas
Last 6: Coyle 5-1 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Coyle
Necas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Necas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Necas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
44.5% (339)
+8.2%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
47.4% (57)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
47.6% (21)
+0.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Necas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Coyle
Necas
Home
53.3% (512)
44.8% (203)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Coyle
Necas
P1
53.8%
46.8%
P2
47.8%
40.0%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
OT
38.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Martin Necas |