Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Necas 41.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 76.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 94.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 91.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Coyle
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Coyle
Necas
Last 7: Coyle 6-1 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Coyle
Necas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Necas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
40.7% (797)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
40.0% (135)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
54.1% (37)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Necas is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Coyle
Necas
Home
49.8% (4,835)
39.2% (492)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Coyle
Necas
P1
49.4%
39.9%
P2
48.3%
40.6%
P3
48.8%
43.3%
OT
49.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Martin Necas |