Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bourque 47.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Coyle
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Bourque
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.7% (321)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
33.3% (6)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
42.9% (21)
+0.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Bourque is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bourque
Home
47.4% (409)
51.0% (157)
Away
50.0% (360)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Coyle
Bourque
P1
50.8%
44.2%
P2
46.0%
44.7%
P3
48.4%
49.6%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |