Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs McLeod 59.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 54.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 57.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Coyle
McLeod
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Coyle
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
61.5% (792)
-8.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
65.2% (23)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
55.6% (153)
-7.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
53.3% (512)
62.0% (460)
Away
51.9% (507)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
53.8%
61.5%
P2
47.8%
63.6%
P3
56.7%
56.2%
OT
38.5%
73.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |