Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs McLeod 63.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
64.8% (509)
-11.8%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
68.4% (19)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
65.3% (124)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
54.5% (719)
64.3% (308)
Away
48.8% (758)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
51.1%
62.9%
P2
50.0%
64.8%
P3
53.3%
67.9%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |