Charlie Coyle vs Morgan Frost

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Coyle 50.5% vs Frost 55.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Frost 97.0%
Defensive zone Frost 63.4%
Neutral zone Frost 83.9%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
Coyle Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Coyle Frost
Last 8: Coyle 6-2 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle Frost
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Coyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
54.9% (701)
-2.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
60.8% (166)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
100.0% (5)
-55.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Coyle
Frost
Home
49.0% (537)
56.0% (443)
Away
52.1% (516)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Coyle
Frost
P1
48.7%
58.9%
P2
49.6%
55.3%
P3
53.1%
54.0%
OT
45.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%
51.0%
50.5%
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
56.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2026 3 16:42 Offensive Morgan Frost
Jan 13, 2026 1 11:50 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 5, 2025 3 08:36 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 5, 2025 2 08:59 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 5, 2025 2 08:52 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 5, 2025 2 03:17 Offensive Morgan Frost
Nov 5, 2025 2 00:40 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 5, 2025 1 00:27 Defensive Charlie Coyle