Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Frost 46.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 75.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 70.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Coyle
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Coyle
Frost
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
2
Coyle
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Coyle
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
45.6% (833)
+7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
46.0% (100)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
55.6% (18)
-7.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Coyle
Frost
Home
53.3% (512)
47.0% (440)
Away
51.9% (507)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Coyle
Frost
P1
53.8%
42.5%
P2
47.8%
47.9%
P3
56.7%
46.6%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |