Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Frost 49.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Coyle
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Coyle
Frost
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
7
Coyle
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
48.6% (704)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
55.7% (115)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
25.0% (4)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Coyle
Frost
Home
54.5% (719)
49.9% (399)
Away
48.8% (758)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Coyle
Frost
P1
51.1%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
53.9%
P3
53.3%
42.7%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |