Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Hischier 51.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 73.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Coyle
Hischier
Last 5: Coyle 0-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Coyle
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Coyle
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
50.1% (789)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
58.9% (151)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
57.5% (40)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
44.3% (332)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.8% (367)
50.1% (535)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
47.5%
52.6%
P2
47.5%
49.8%
P3
45.7%
52.8%
OT
35.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | OT | 03:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |