Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Hischier 53.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 83.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 55.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Coyle
Hischier
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Coyle
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
52.4% (1,185)
+0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
57.8% (315)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
57.1% (154)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
53.3% (512)
53.4% (844)
Away
51.9% (507)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
53.8%
49.7%
P2
47.8%
54.6%
P3
56.7%
56.1%
OT
38.5%
65.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |