Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Hischier 52.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 52-45 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
52
(97 meetings)
45
52
Coyle
Hischier
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
14
26
Coyle
Hischier
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
18
Coyle
Hischier
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
15
8
Coyle
Hischier
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.5% (8,379)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
59.7% (1,736)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
49.4% (903)
-5.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
49.8% (4,835)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
49.4%
52.9%
P2
48.3%
52.4%
P3
48.8%
52.6%
OT
49.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |