Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Hischier 54.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Hischier
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Coyle
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
53.2% (250)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
66.7% (75)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
55.6% (36)
-8.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
52.5% (238)
56.9% (153)
Away
44.6% (269)
55.8% (208)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
48.6%
P3
46.3%
68.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |