Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 84.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.6%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 55.7%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
41.0% (78)
+10.6%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
44.4% (9)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
20.0% (5)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
47.5% (394)
40.0% (60)
Away
52.8% (411)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
49.6%
38.1%
P2
48.9%
30.8%
P3
52.0%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |