Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 80.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 75.5%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 56.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
37.7% (154)
+14.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
42.9% (14)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
30.0% (10)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
49.0% (537)
37.4% (91)
Away
52.1% (516)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
48.7%
38.9%
P2
49.6%
31.5%
P3
53.1%
42.0%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |