Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 86.7%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 57.7%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 75.5%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Buchnevich
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
37.0% (211)
+12.5%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
50.0% (10)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
28.6% (7)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
47.4% (409)
35.6% (87)
Away
50.0% (360)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
50.8%
36.3%
P2
46.0%
37.6%
P3
48.4%
38.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |