Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 81.0%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 81.4%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 84.8%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Coyle
Buchnevich
Last 10: Coyle 1-9 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
6
Coyle
Buchnevich
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
33.7% (895)
+15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
44.2% (52)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
24.3% (37)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
49.8% (4,835)
34.7% (490)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
49.4%
34.4%
P2
48.3%
33.7%
P3
48.8%
33.4%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |