Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Zacha 51.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 68.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 63.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Coyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Coyle
Zacha
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
5
Coyle
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
2
Coyle
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
53.3% (411)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
51.8% (114)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
42.0% (81)
+4.9%
On even strength, Zacha has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zacha
Home
52.5% (238)
52.2% (295)
Away
44.6% (269)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Coyle
Zacha
P1
49.7%
50.5%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
46.3%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |