Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 24-13 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 56.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Coyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
13
(37 meetings)
24
13
Coyle
Zacha
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
5
Coyle
Zacha
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
6
Coyle
Zacha
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
2
Coyle
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.9% (5,102)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
55.6% (804)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
42.2% (555)
+1.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zacha
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Coyle
Zacha
P1
49.4%
49.9%
P2
48.3%
49.2%
P3
48.8%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |