Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Zacha 51.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Coyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.3% (646)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
53.0% (100)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
38.9% (72)
+5.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zacha
Home
49.0% (537)
51.7% (410)
Away
52.1% (516)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Coyle
Zacha
P1
48.7%
57.7%
P2
49.6%
48.9%
P3
53.1%
50.2%
OT
45.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |