Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Poehling 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 52.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Coyle
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Coyle
Poehling
Last 9: Coyle 3-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Coyle
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Coyle
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
50.4% (752)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
37.0% (27)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
45.3% (159)
-1.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Coyle
Poehling
Home
54.5% (719)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.8% (758)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Coyle
Poehling
P1
51.1%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
46.7%
P3
53.3%
46.7%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |