Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Poehling 47.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Coyle
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
49.8% (626)
+2.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
58.3% (12)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
38.2% (207)
+6.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Coyle
Poehling
Home
49.0% (537)
47.3% (404)
Away
52.1% (516)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Coyle
Poehling
P1
48.7%
53.5%
P2
49.6%
39.4%
P3
53.1%
49.1%
OT
45.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |