Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Carrick 53.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Coyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Coyle
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
55.1% (439)
-2.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
66.7% (3)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
49.1% (53)
-4.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carrick
Home
49.0% (537)
58.2% (225)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Coyle
Carrick
P1
48.7%
56.7%
P2
49.6%
52.8%
P3
53.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |