Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Carrick 53.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Coyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
53.9% (521)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
57.1% (35)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
51.5% (229)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carrick
Home
54.5% (719)
52.7% (408)
Away
48.8% (758)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Coyle
Carrick
P1
51.1%
51.4%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
53.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |