Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Coyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Coyle
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.2% (307)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
66.7% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
48.2% (56)
-0.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carrick
Home
53.3% (512)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.9% (507)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Coyle
Carrick
P1
53.8%
41.0%
P2
47.8%
51.2%
P3
56.7%
55.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |