Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Reinhart 46.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Coyle
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coyle
Reinhart
Last 9: Coyle 5-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
3
Coyle
Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Reinhart
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
44.4% (234)
+3.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
55.3% (38)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
25.0% (4)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Reinhart is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Coyle
Reinhart
Home
52.5% (238)
44.9% (158)
Away
44.6% (269)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Coyle
Reinhart
P1
49.7%
43.0%
P2
49.5%
46.7%
P3
46.3%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |