Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 53.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Coyle
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Coyle
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
44.1% (324)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
40.3% (72)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
33.9% (118)
+9.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Coyle
Reinhart
Home
47.4% (409)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.0% (360)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Coyle
Reinhart
P1
50.8%
46.4%
P2
46.0%
32.6%
P3
48.4%
45.4%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |