Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 75.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 93.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 92.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Coyle
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Coyle
Reinhart
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
1
Coyle
Reinhart
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
42.5% (2,173)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
46.5% (525)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
41.3% (339)
+2.3%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Coyle
Reinhart
Home
49.8% (4,835)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Coyle
Reinhart
P1
49.4%
44.5%
P2
48.3%
40.5%
P3
48.8%
44.5%
OT
49.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |