Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Steel 50.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Coyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Coyle
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
52.5% (200)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
71.4% (7)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
40.0% (45)
+4.8%
On power play, Steel has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Coyle
Steel
Home
49.0% (537)
49.5% (109)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Coyle
Steel
P1
48.7%
49.5%
P2
49.6%
47.5%
P3
53.1%
56.6%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |