Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Steel 52.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Coyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Coyle
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Coyle
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
56.9% (320)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
71.4% (7)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
37.0% (73)
+6.4%
On power play, Steel has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Coyle
Steel
Home
47.4% (409)
55.9% (202)
Away
50.0% (360)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Coyle
Steel
P1
50.8%
55.5%
P2
46.0%
55.1%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |